Accéder directement au contenu Accéder directement à la navigation
Article dans une revue

The effects of flooding and weather conditions on leptospirosis transmission in Thailand

Abstract : Abstract The epidemic of leptospirosis in humans occurs annually in Thailand. In this study, we have developed mathematical models to investigate transmission dynamics between humans, animals, and a contaminated environment. We compared different leptospire transmission models involving flooding and weather conditions, shedding and multiplication rate in a contaminated environment. We found that the model in which the transmission rate depends on both flooding and temperature, best-fits the reported human data on leptospirosis in Thailand. Our results indicate that flooding strongly contributes to disease transmission, where a high degree of flooding leads to a higher number of infected individuals. Sensitivity analysis showed that the transmission rate of leptospires from a contaminated environment was the most important parameter for the total number of human cases. Our results suggest that public education should target people who work in contaminated environments to prevent Leptospira infections.
Liste complète des métadonnées

https://hal-vetagro-sup.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03259732
Contributeur : Richard Jouen Connectez-vous pour contacter le contributeur
Soumis le : lundi 4 octobre 2021 - 17:43:16
Dernière modification le : mardi 5 octobre 2021 - 03:12:02

Fichier

s41598-020-79546-x.pdf
Fichiers éditeurs autorisés sur une archive ouverte

Identifiants

Collections

Citation

Sudarat Chadsuthi, Karine Chalvet-Monfray, Anuwat Wiratsudakul, Charin Modchang. The effects of flooding and weather conditions on leptospirosis transmission in Thailand. Scientific Reports, Nature Publishing Group, 2021, 11, pp.1486. ⟨10.1038/s41598-020-79546-x⟩. ⟨hal-03259732⟩

Partager

Métriques

Consultations de la notice

54

Téléchargements de fichiers

2